Quant Corner

Volatility: Friend or Foe?

Volatility is neither good nor bad—it’s information. The edge comes from using it without being used by it.

By You Published: Aug 21, 2025 ~7 min read
TL;DR: Use volatility as an input to sizing and timing, recognize regime shifts, and install guardrails so drawdowns don’t compound.

1) Volatility isn’t just noise

Volatility is a statistic, but markets experience it as emotion. It compresses and releases risk like a spring. Treat it as a signal about the state of supply, demand, and liquidity—not a nuisance to be ignored.

  • Separate realized vs. implied volatility in your dashboards.
  • Use asymmetry: up‑volatility and down‑volatility are not the same.
  • Let volatility inform—not dominate—position sizing.

2) When volatility helps

Trend followers and option sellers can both love volatility—at different times. Volatility can cleanse crowded positions and create clearer trends once the dust settles.

  1. Trend after shock: allocate once volatility compresses post‑event.
  2. Harvest convexity with optionality when distributions fatten.

3) When volatility hurts

Whipsaws, gaps, and correlation spikes. Even diversified books converge to one trade when stress hits—everything sells together.

  • Watch for correlation of correlations—stress begets stress.
  • Reduce gross when both realized vol and cross‑asset correlations jump.
  • Prefer switchers (gradual scalers) to binary on/off timing.

4) Tooling for a volatile world

You don’t tame volatility; you build guardrails.

  • Multi‑horizon vol filters (fast+slow).
  • Drawdown‑aware sizing and kill‑switches.
  • Liquidity‑adjusted order caps.

5) Playbook

  1. Detect regime (vol state + liquidity).
  2. Scale exposures, don’t flip them.
  3. Favor signals with longer half‑lives when spreads widen.
  4. Stress‑test path dependency, not only endpoints.

Have thoughts or counterpoints? Leave a comment—we publish smart takes, even when they disagree.